Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.000795 0.000906 0.001024 0.001157 0.001304 0.001459 0.001637
2025-03-16 0.000609 0.000761 0.000933 0.001140 0.001381 0.001652 0.001978
2025-03-23 0.000513 0.000682 0.000881 0.001133 0.001437 0.001790 0.002227
2025-03-30 0.000442 0.000622 0.000844 0.001133 0.001495 0.001926 0.002475
2025-04-06 0.000383 0.000568 0.000804 0.001122 0.001531 0.002032 0.002683
2025-04-13 0.000331 0.000516 0.000761 0.001102 0.001551 0.002114 0.002860
2025-04-20 0.000303 0.000494 0.000755 0.001126 0.001626 0.002265 0.003125
2025-04-27 0.000277 0.000471 0.000744 0.001142 0.001689 0.002400 0.003371
2025-05-04 0.000246 0.000437 0.000715 0.001129 0.001712 0.002481 0.003548
2025-05-11 0.000216 0.000402 0.000681 0.001108 0.001720 0.002541 0.003698
2025-05-18 0.000199 0.000386 0.000674 0.001122 0.001777 0.002668 0.003936
2025-05-25 0.000182 0.000367 0.000660 0.001126 0.001818 0.002772 0.004147
2025-06-01 0.000158 0.000334 0.000622 0.001093 0.001805 0.002803 0.004260
2025-06-08 0.000136 0.000304 0.000587 0.001061 0.001792 0.002833 0.004372
2025-06-15 0.000123 0.000288 0.000572 0.001059 0.001822 0.002923 0.004567
2025-06-22 0.000112 0.000273 0.000559 0.001058 0.001854 0.003015 0.004768
2025-06-29 0.000100 0.000256 0.000541 0.001048 0.001870 0.003085 0.004937
2025-07-06 0.000088 0.000237 0.000517 0.001029 0.001870 0.003130 0.005070
2025-07-13 0.000083 0.000232 0.000520 0.001052 0.001938 0.003276 0.005353
2025-07-20 0.000078 0.000226 0.000518 0.001066 0.001993 0.003404 0.005610
2025-07-27 0.000070 0.000212 0.000500 0.001054 0.002003 0.003464 0.005769
2025-08-03 0.000061 0.000196 0.000480 0.001034 0.001999 0.003502 0.005895
2025-08-10 0.000057 0.000191 0.000478 0.001048 0.002051 0.003627 0.006152